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Maui Real Estate Advisor

      Presented by Aloha Potts

      Issue 30, August 2008

Market Overview July

 

July

 

 

 

 

Sales

 

 

 

 

Sales Prior Month

 

 

 

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

Sales Prior Year

 

 

 

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

Homes

 

 

 

96

 

 

 

74

 

 

 

30%

 

 

 

86

 

 

 

12%

 

 

 

Condos

 

 

 

63

 

 

 

53

 

 

 

19%

 

 

 

99

 

 

 

-36%

 

 

 

Land

 

 

 

7

 

 

 

11

 

 

 

-36%

 

 

 

13

 

 

 

-46%

 

 

 

 

 

July

 

 

 

 

Median Price

 

 

 

 

Median Prior Month

 

 

 

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

Median Prior Year

 

 

 

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

Homes

 

 

 

615,000

 

 

 

616,000

 

 

 

0%

 

 

 

650,000

 

 

 

-5%

 

 

 

Condos

 

 

 

575,000

 

 

 

580,000

 

 

 

-1%

 

 

 

510,000

 

 

 

13%

 

 

 

Land

 

 

 

1,025,000

 

 

 

700,000

 

 

 

46%

 

 

 

575,000

 

 

 

78%

 

 

 

 

 

July

 

 

 

 

Current Inventory

 

 

 

 

Inventory Last Month

 

 

 

 

% change

 

 

 

 

Months of available inventory

 

 

 

 

Homes

 

 

 

1,092

 

 

 

1,069

 

 

 

2%

 

 

 

11.38

 

 

 

Condos

 

 

 

1,552

 

 

 

1,508

 

 

 

3%

24.63

 

 

 

 

 

Maui, where living is slow

And so are real estate sales

Slow and flat.  That sounds like a bad day for surfing, but it really describes the trend that our real estate market has settled into this year.

Since July of 2007, home sales have averaged about 83 units per month.  This year, they’ve been erratic, but steady.  That means we have 70 plus one month, 90 plus the next month.  The result, still about 83 per month, and the median price has hovered from the high $500,000’s to the low $600,000’s.

 

For condos, the trend has been much the same.  Sales slowed in November of ’07, but remained steady until this June.  Overall, median condo prices have hovered at around $575,000.

So, condo sales are slowing, but the prices are holding.  Home sales are up and down, but steady overall.  From my perspective, it’s like lying on my board waiting for the next set to come in.  It takes patience, but like sets of waves, the Maui market just keeps rolling along.    

Condo sales rebound slightly

Sales volume still well below “normal”

Condo sales rebounded slightly in July.  That’s good news, because June was the slowest month in over 5 years.

However, with just 63 units sold, July was the second slowest month in 5 years.  And, if history is any example, these numbers don’t bode well for sellers, because historically August has been slower than June
and July.

Median prices are holding - but the median is a general measure of the market, and such generalizations may not be valid for a given property.  Prices appear to be rising in some complexes that are viewed as more desirable and declining in some less desirable properties.  In some properties, depending on the location, i.e., ocean view versus garden view or next to the pool versus next to the road, we see price fluctuations.

So while the median is a good global measure, buyers and sellers are wise to study the activity in any given complex and consult with their REALTORs to set a selling price or make an offer. 

Days on market for sales dropped to 167 in July.  However, we still have enough inventory to carry us through the next 2+ years at the current sales pace.

Area Sales

 

 

 

July sales in both Wailea and Kihei rebounded over June sales.  The rest of the island was zero to slow.

Kihei was tops with 26 sales at a median price of $365,500.  The sales include some short sales which impacted the median, dragging it well below the median for Maui.

Wailea, Kihei’s richer next door neighbor, had the second highest number of sales for the month.  At $2,398,851, the median price in Wailea was over $2 million higher than Kihei. 

Over half of the sales in Wailea were in Hoolei, one of the new complexes that is carrying much of the sales load for the area. 

If we remove Kihei and Wailea from the mix, we see that there were only 19 sales on the rest of Maui; less than in Kihei alone.  The median price for the rest of Maui was only $515,000, so clearly the high number of high end properties in Wailea is skewing our overall results.

There were only 8 sales recorded in Napili – Honokowai, a historically strong market.  More notable perhaps is zero sales in Kaanapali, 1 in Kapalua and one, a bank owned property, in Lahaina. 

High and Lows 

Last month I said it was a little freaky that there were no sales at Harbor Lights. Well this month, despite prices as low as $75,000, again no condos sold.

 

The lowest price paid for a condo this month was for a leasehold studio at Napili Shores.  That is a nice complex, but the listing agent indicated there are some issues with the lease.  The condo was originally listed for $298,000.  After 334 days on market it sold for $125,000. 

The high water mark was again at Hoolei.  This buyer picked up a 3 bedroom, 3 ½ bath of 2,619 square feet for $3,248,000.

Potts’ Picks – Best Buys

Twenty-eight of the 35 lowest priced condos in Maui are at Harbor Lights.  Yet there have been no sales in the last 2 months, and there are no units pending sale.  We have a pretty good idea of what’s going on.  We’ll give you some details next month.

If you are looking for a low entry point condo for a rental or a first home and you don’t mind a little work, take a look at Maui Tradewinds in Honokowai on Maui’s Westside. The Tradewinds is leasehold and has a bit of “history”, but the place has been the beneficiary of new management, and this 2 bedroom unit has a motivated seller.  At only $155,000 this could be a bargain for someone.  See it at www.AlohaPotts.com at MLS #323026.

For a vacation condo or second home, there is a condo deal at aina nalu.  This is a short sale, so it probably will require some patience, but patience is part of the game for an investor.  This is a 2/2 unit I 103 priced at only $409,000.  The last 2/2 to sell at aina nalu that was not a short sale went for $505,000 in May and was appraised for $515,000. You can see the short sale at our website, MLS #330206.

For luxury, we like a 2/2 with a den at Wailea Beach Villas.  It is a 1978 square foot penthouse with ocean views in a luxury development and is listed for $3,250,000.. You can see the full listing on our website, MLS #328754. 

 

For more information on these or any other listings send an email with your request to lee@alohapotts.com or, see all of the listings on Maui at www.alohapotts.com.   

Homes sales bounce back

August sales 2nd highest in a year

Sales of single family homes rebounded in July.  Ninety-six homes sold, which was the second highest number of sales this year and the second highest since June of ’07. 

Nineteen, or 20%, of the homes sold were categorized as affordable sales in a new development, Waikapu Gardens.  The median selling price was $289,255, quite a deal on this island. 

For everyone else, the median selling price was $615,000 which is in line with where it has been since August of last year. If we discount the affordables, the median is $716,000, virtually the same as last month.

Area Sales

The Central area of Kahului/Wailuku comprised 41% of sales last month.  Half of those were the aforementioned affordables.

Sales in Kihei more than doubled in July over June, and also showed a sales increase over July of 2007.  Kihei’s median price did come down from $810,000 in June to $764,801 in July, but that’s still ahead of the median from a year ago. 

New projects, not the affordable kind, had a big impact on Kihei’s overall sales volume.  Fourteen of the 23 units sold, 58%, were new homes.

As was the case last month, Maui’s upcountry was comparatively active with a total of 12 sales for Haiku, Kula, Makawao and Pukalani.  

In other notable areas, Lahaina had only 1 sale, Kapalua 1 and Kaanapali had 2 sales.  

Highs and Lows

The lowest price for a home in July, outside the affordables, was $250,000 for a 3/2 of 864 square feet in Wailuku.  It was sold “as is.”

The other end of the market shows that there is still real money moving on Maui, especially in Makena.  There, a 4,135 square foot, 4 bedroom, 4.5 bath, beachfront unit went for $10,500,000. 

Potts’ Picks

One of the best buys we’ve seen this year is back on the market.  It is a 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home in Napili, now listed for $499,000.  This house was in escrow, and we understand the financing fell through, so you get another shot. This is in the MLS #327346.

 

For investors or first time home buyers, we like a new listing in Pukalani.  This listing is actually 2 houses, a 3/1.5 and a 3/1 on one lot.  They are currently rented on a month-to-month basis.  The 3/1.5 gets $1,800 and the other gets $1,400.  This is MLS #332786 listed for $680,000.

For something a bit more upscale we like the family compound in Ku’au, near Paia.  The compound includes 3 structures, including a total of 12 bedrooms and 13 bathrooms.  The main house is almost 5,000 square feet and the guest homes amount to another 3,500 square feet.  It is a across the street from a nice, but little used beach.  The asking price is $5,750,000 and this is MLS #326730.

For more information on these or any other listings send an email with your request to lee@alohapotts.com, or see all of the listings on Maui at www.alohapotts.com 

Lot sales still slow

Inventory still rising
 

 

Last month there were only 7 lots sold.  At that rate, it will take almost 6 ½ years to sell off the current inventory.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Two of the 7 lots sold were commercial property, with the larger one, 1.7 acres, selling for $2.7M.  And 4 of the 7 went for over $1M. 

Potts’ Picks

One of the more interesting high end listings is MLS #332734.  This is a gated 10.15acre  lot, actually 2 lots being sold as one, oceanfront off the Hana Highway about 2 miles out of Paia.  For an asking price of $4.4 million, this has a lot of potential. 

 

Another property we like is a “low” priced Launiupoko ocean view lot priced at $699,000.  It’s MLS #328168, it’s 2 acres and a great
spot for a cottage.

For more information on vacant land, see all of the listings on Maui at www.alohapotts.com or send an email with your request to lee@alohapotts.com.

Get more information and details

 To get more information on property and trends, you can search all properties listed for sale at www.alohapotts.com.  If you can’t find what you’re looking for there, send us an email at lee@alohapotts.com, and we’ll do our best to get an answer for you.  As we get more requests for information, we’ll add new sections to the website, newsletter or both.

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